Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

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Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 COOP on Tue Nov 10, 2015 4:47 pm

Many of you have been asking which route to take on spending your crypto keys. Its been my personal experience to go for the common supply drop.
I've bought 5 Common Supply drops, and received rare/epic loot from 3 of those 5.

The rare supply drop guarantees you a rare/epic/legendary loot each time. However i've heard its more commonly you only get one and the other two are common.

You are able to by 3:1 using crypto keys on common vs rare.
To me the chances of getting a rare/epic/legendary are better in common supply drops. Because you have more chances.

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 K1ll3rKlown on Tue Nov 10, 2015 4:53 pm

Why would more rare/epic loot be in supply drop called "common"-- than a drop specifically named "rare".

Makes no sense!

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 COOP on Tue Nov 10, 2015 7:16 pm

Just based off my personal experience.

I've gotten rare/epic loot all but twice on the common.
But I can buy 3 common at the price of one rare supply drop.

I guess you can guarantee one for 30 or risk it for 10

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 K1ll3rKlown on Thu Nov 12, 2015 9:56 am

I'm not implying in anyway that you're wrong, I'm just making note of the lack of logic involved in how they programmed the items to drop.

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by Atrum on Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:04 am

This would be what we call an anecdotal fallacy. You experienced a small run of 'good luck' where you hit the statistically rare occurrences and drew the connection that buying common supply drops is superior all around.

While I agree common supply drops are better early on (you fill out your 'low end' collection, leaving less garbage variables when you do start purchasing the rare packs) I don't think Rare+ items are as common as you saw.

I've purchased a small amount. Of the 10 or so I've purchased I've received 2 rares, nothing above that. Even if it's more likely to see 1 in 3 Commons drop a rare, the Rare packs still almost definitely have higher potential to drop Epics

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 Coolhand on Thu Nov 12, 2015 2:37 pm

Sample size is too small to determine if the odds are illogical or if you just had good luck, but thanks for sharing your experience.

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 R0LLING THUND3R on Thu Nov 12, 2015 4:25 pm

The last supply drop I got had 2 rare Items in it. It was the 30 crypto keys one. so fare I've bought 3 of them and one 10 crypto. I've been getting better items from the 30.

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 Sticky on Thu Nov 12, 2015 5:21 pm

your best route in this game is buy the common ones

from my XP's so far i have opened 3 rares at 30 keys each and gotten all common and the one rare is for a gun ill never play with..

were as i have opened 5 commons at 10 key per and gotten 3 legendary and 1 epic out of it...

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 K1ll3rKlown on Fri Nov 13, 2015 8:53 am

Then your experience tends to confirm what Coop is saying Sticky (if I'm reading this correctly).

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 OC on Fri Nov 13, 2015 9:03 am

Yeah common supply drops are the better way to go. Granted all you get from a supply drop is visual (camo,specialist year,emblem logos...)
3 common drops to 1 rare gets you more and you still have a good chance to get rare or better from the 3.

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 Anonymous on Sat Nov 21, 2015 6:54 pm

Common supply drops for sure. I played a little advanced Warfare and was not a fan of getting weapon variants. Getting weapon variants was easy for people that paid for them.

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by FuBARM0nK on Sat Nov 21, 2015 8:27 pm

i go common I don't see the point of get the rare drops

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by Atrum on Sun Nov 22, 2015 1:39 am

I'm still yet to get a single Rare from common supply drops.

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 OC on Sun Nov 22, 2015 9:50 am

I got an epic ice camo for my xr2 out of a common drop. In the three that it takes me to buy a rare drop I normally get at least one of the 9 items to be better than common. Most of the time it's 2 or better thought.

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

Post by S7 Coolhand on Tue Nov 24, 2015 8:59 pm

Out of 6 commons I received all commons, no rares or better, so back to rare boxes for me.

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Re: Common Supply drop or Rare Supply Drop

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